TY - JOUR T1 - Swinging for the Fences? Payroll, Performance and Risk Behavior in the Major League Baseball Draft JF - Journal of Sport Management Y1 - 2021 A1 - Barden,Jeffrey A1 - Choi,Yohan KW - Strategy & Entrepreneurship AB - This study examines the way competitive advantage and organization performance mediate the effect of potential slack – externally-available resources – on organization risk behavior in Major League Baseball’s amateur draft. It tests the hypotheses that local market munificence provides payroll advantage and increases on-field performance and that payroll disadvantage and poor performance increase teams’ likelihood of selecting riskier high school players instead of college players. Consistent with resource deprivation theory, results suggest that payroll disadvantage promotes risk-taking; however, on-field success encourages risk-taking early in the draft. Indeed, pick number appears to have a U-shape relationship with risk-taking where winning increases confidence earlier in the draft and low stakes promote risk-seeking later. This study contributes to the literature by suggesting that input-based and outcome-based reference metrics have different effects on risk behavior and that managerial hubris may influence risk behavior through information availability rather than having a general effect. U2 - a U4 - 203190386688 ID - 203190386688 ER -